According to information presented by Hoover’s titled "Automotive Service & Collision Repair" the United States automotive service and repair business was $85 billion dollars. This business goes from large companies to the guy that repairs cars in his back yard. The collision part of this business will not be hit as severely by a switch to electric vehicles because drivers will still have accidents.
What Repairs Go Away with Electric Vehicles
The internal combustion engine guarantees a revenue stream for the automobile repair business. Almost every part of the engine will need service at some point. Spark plugs go away with a battery powered car and without spark plugs there is no need for a tune up.
Oil changes for vehicles have created an entire industry built around one function, changing oil on automobiles at regular intervals. Cars also need a new oil filter when getting an oil change, which will be gone also.
The list of services required on a traditional internal combustion engine powered car that goes away is staggering and range from shorter term periodic maintenance to parts that begin to fail with long term ownership.
Drive belts, radiator hoses, batteries and fuel filters are periodically replaced due to wear or failure. If you keep your car for an extended period of time you will eventually need to replace long term items such as fuel pumps and gaskets.
An Army Of Mechanics
There is a virtual army of mechanics that are trained in schools, by apprentice and by watching others that know how to repair vehicles built around internal combustion engines. The weight of that fleet of mechanics, parts supply system and business structure built on the back of fossil fuel burning engines will be a formidable force. Everything connected with the traditional industry will have an interest in the current form of the auto repair business staying around as long as possible.
What Is Left With Electric Cars
Electric vehicles will still have tires, suspension pieces and electronic systems that need troubleshooting. Electric and gas engine combination vehicles will still have internal combustion engines, but they will be used much less than in a gas only vehicle.
Even if electric vehicles are wildly successful it will take decades for them to replace traditional fuel engine vehicles. There are so many applications for internal combustion engines that electric power has yet to touch such as heavy duty use on farms, construction sites and hauling.
The two automotive technologies may find a peaceful coexistence where each finds its best fit.
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